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Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
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developing economy, like Iran, through the channel of the relationship between bank deposits, stock market, and speculation in … low banks deposits regimes. Both FIs have negatively impacted speculation in the FEM in high and low exchange rates … very high inflation regimes. In comparison, the impact of speculation in the FEM has been negative on investment and …
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Examines the current conditions before looking back to the events of the last century - The Great Depression, the 1970s oil crisis, the party-for-the-rich atmosphere of the 1980's and the emergence of the new economy
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Financial market interactions can lead to large and persistent booms and recessions. Instability is an inherent threat to economies with speculative financial markets. A central bank's interest rate setting can amplify the expectation feedback in the financial market and this can lead to...
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