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This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MSVAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
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This study examines the monetary policy effectiveness of five major Asian countries (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan …
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, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to gain first insights that … general investment and consumption of longlived goods in the EMU core countries in order to be prepared to react on different … states of the world in the future. What is more, shifts of investment from peripheral to core EMU member countries as safe …
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