This paper provides new evidence on the formation and anchoring process of expectations. We conduct a game experiment and measure the convergence of inflation expectations as well as the impact of credible targets in central banking. In addition, we evaluate the idiosyncratic variables of our...

Financial markets are known for overreacting to public information. Central banks can reduce this overreaction either by disclosing information to a fraction of market participants only (partial publicity) or by disclosing information to all participants but with ambiguity (partial...

Expectations play a crucial role in modern macroeconomic models. We consider a New Keynesian framework under a behavioral model of expectation formation and under rational expectations. Contrary to the rational model, the behavioral model predicts that inflation volatility can be lowered if the...

We consider boundedly rational agents who do not plan over the infinite future but make trading plans at a finite, arbitrary horizon. We investigate the role of that horizon in the price dynamics of an asset in a Lucas tree model. We then design a laboratory experiment to test our theoretical...

This paper studies how people make inference about a state of the world when the information structure includes additional, payoff-irrelevant states. For example, learning about effort from observed performance may require accounting for the otherwise irrelevant role of luck. This creates an...

New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models are the principal paradigm currently employed for central bank policy-making. In this paper, we construct experimental economies, populated with human subjects, with the structure of a New Keynesian DSGE model. We give individuals...

Partial currency substitution occurs typically in small economies amid economic crises when the local currency loses some of its essential functions, and foreign currency, usually the US Dollar, is widely adopted. Interestingly, the coexistence of two currencies often persists after...

The paper studies the relative effectiveness of extrinsic monetary disincentives and intrinsic non-monetary disincentives to corruption. In doing so, we also test the Beckarian prediction that at the same level of expected payoff, a low probability of detection with high penalty is a stronger...

This paper introduces a new laboratory experiment based on the New-Keynesian macroeconomy in Woodford (2013). The purpose of the experiment is to study how monetary policy can influence individual expectations to achieve the stabilization of macroeconomic outcomes and to improve social welfare....