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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349294
, Malaysia). Among countries with inflation below target, in those with trend inflation low but constant (Australia, New Zealand …Trend inflation estimates for 12 of the largest Asian economies over 1995-2018 offer important insights on inflation … dynamics and inflation expectations. The disinflationary shocks that hit the region since 2014 were partly transitory, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132591
mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing … anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a … forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305860
This paper examines the interaction of core inflation and inflation targeting as a monetary policy regime. Interest in … core inflation has grown because of inflation targeting. Core inflation is defined in numerous ways giving rise to many … potential measures; this paper defines core inflation as the best forecaster of inflation. A cross-country study finds before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063199
This paper studies the Great Inflation in Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Newspaper coverage and policymakers … delegated inflation control to nonmonetary devices. This hypothesis helps explain why, unlike Canada, Australia and New Zealand …' statements are used to analyze the views on the inflation process that led to the 1970s macroeconomic policies, and the different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063549
patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the normal regime, oil price shocks … followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the same … direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009500975
We investigate drivers of Euro area inflation dynamics using a panel of regional Phillips curves and identify long …-run inflation expectations by exploiting the crosssectional dimension of the data. Our approach simultaneously allows for the … inclusion of country-specific inflation and unemployment-gaps, as well as time-varying parameters. Our preferred panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764910
This paper seeks to document and explain the effect of a commodity price shock on underlying core inflation, and how … across many countries there was a break in the response of core inflation to a commodity price shock. In an earlier period, a … shock to commodity prices would lead to a large and significant increase in core inflation, but in later periods, the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036232
appointment of Volcker marked a change in the conduct of monetary policy, but inflation dropped only when fiscal policy … accommodated this change two years later. In fact, a disinflationary attempt of the monetary authority leads to more inflation if … been confident about the switch, the Great Inflation would not have occurred and debt would have been higher. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037299