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calculated. Therefore, in this paper, we review the literature on global risk, uncertainty, and volatility measures drawing on …A large number of measures for monitoring risk and uncertainty surrounding macroeconomic and financial outcomes have … researchers in their analyses. However, risk and uncertainty measures differ across multiple dimensions, including the method of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277
policy uncertainty on nominal yields, short rates, bond risk premia and the term structure of bond yield volatility … interest rates as well as the hump-shaped bond yield volatility curve. Finally, the empirical analysis shows that, whereas … higher government policy uncertainty leads to a decline in yields, and an increase in bond yield volatility, monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014330
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro …-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB … without precisely describing what exactly they entail does not move asset markets or actually increases crash risk. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500847
This paper investigates dynamic correlations of stock-bond returns for different stock indices and bond maturities. Evidence in the US shows that stock-bond relations are time-varying and display a negative trend. The stock-bond correlations are negatively correlated with implied volatilities in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292914
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349374
This paper shows that FED policy announcements lead to a significant increase in international co-movement in the cross-section of equity and particularly sovereign CDS market. The effect is strongest for emerging markets, when the FED relaxes unconventionary monetary policies, and for countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874674
In our model, cross-currency basis, which captures the deviations from covered interest rate parity (CIP), reflects the relative value of the scarcer currency (US dollar) as collateral in funding constraints. Our empirical evidence shows that measures of dollar shortage derived from ECB tenders,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098803
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013364361
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029