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Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on stock prices during narrow time windows centered around press releases by the FOMC. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct effect and a network effect. We attribute 50 to 85 percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770624
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
This paper studies the effects of FOMC communication on U.S. financial markets’ returns and volatility using a GARCH … and volatility is larger if the communication channel is more formal. However, since speeches happen much more often than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864447
equity market returns and volatility over the period 1998–2006. First, both types of news have a significant impact on market … reports lowers price volatility. Finally, American emerging markets react more to U.S. news than non-American markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852244
periods of heightened volatility. We also measure causality in volatilities extending well-known approaches analyzing … volatility transmission. We find significant cross-market relationships between U.S. and German stock and bond markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197299
We examine how the language used by central bank officials in public press conferences influences stock returns in the euro area. In line with the concept of Odyssean Forward Guidance, we find that using constraining language to express policy commitment increases the effectiveness of Forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829731
This paper aims to identify the effect of monetary policy shocks on stock prices through the lens of Mundell and Fleming's “Impossible Trinity” theory. Our identification strategy seeks to solve the simultaneity and omitted variable problems inherent in studies that focus on the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092409
We present evidence of significant bias in event studies that investigate the effect of U.S. monetary policy on U.S. stock prices. To overcome this bias, we propose a new identification method based on the "Impossible Trinity" theory which argues that an economy with a fixed exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075805
This paper attempts to identify how monetary policy shocks affect stock prices by using Mundell and Fleming's theory of the "Impossible Trinity". According to this theory, it is impossible to simultaneously have a fixed exchange rate, free capital movement (an absence of capital controls), and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009681235
This study examines the relationship between bond fund flows, stock market returns and financial policies in developed and developing economies. The findings suggest a bidirectional (negative) relationship between bond flows and market returns in the presence of fiscal and monetary policy for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492430