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We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040
We document that governments whose local currency debt provides them with greater hedging benefits actually borrow more in foreign currency. We introduce two features into a government's debt portfolio choice problem to explain this finding: risk-averse lenders and lack of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854689
We propose that institutional investors’ portfolio rebalancing across asset classes contributes to the stock market’s puzzlingly large response to monetary shocks. We identify this channel through a cross-sectional approach and find that, ceteris paribus, a stock with 10% higher ownership...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351049
We present estimates of the term structure of inflation expectations, derived from an affine model of real and nominal yield curves. The model features stochastic covariation of inflation with the real pricing kernel, enabling us to extract a time-varying inflation risk premium. We fit the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003812556
Epstein-Zin preferences have attracted signi.cant attention within the macrofinance literature based on DSGE models as they allow to substantially increase risk aversion, and consequently generate non-trivial risk premia, without compromising the ability of standard models to achieve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973549
for teaching concepts from monetary theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429961
This short paper shows that a New Keynesian model with limited asset market participation can generate a high risk-premium on unlevered equity relative to short-term risk-free bonds and high variability of equity returns driven by monetary policy shocks with zero persistence.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432126
In this paper, we shed new light on the role of monetary policy in asset pricing by examining the case where investors have heterogeneous expectations about future monetary policy. This case is realistic, because central banks are typically less than perfectly open on their intentions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157016
Recent developments in the asset pricing literature show that a combination of technology and distributive shocks can rationalize observed risk premia when firm ownership is concentrated in the hands of few households. We find that distributive shocks are unnecessary when nominal price rigidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908582
The welfare cost of economic uncertainty has a term structure that is a simple transformation of the term structures of the equity premium and interest rates. Twenty years of financial market data suggest a term structure of welfare costs that is downward-sloping on average, especially during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897549