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's effect on fundamentals. The estimation results from a bivariate VAR-GARCH model suggest that the Fed does not respond to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
We study the correlation between pairs of bond and stock markets in Canada and the United States between January 1998 … communication by the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve significantly affect the co-movement of financial markets. We find that … stock markets as well as between Canadian and US financial markets. -- Bank of Canada ; Central Bank Communication …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009409360
Currencies of countries with persistent current account surpluses and high foreign currency denominated assets such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen are under a persistent appreciation pressure, what restricts the degree of freedom in the choice of exchange rate regime. Official announcements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392509
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425011
We show that the stock market price reaction to monetary policy surprises upon announcements of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is explained mostly by changes in the default-free term structure of yields, not by changes in the equity premium. We reach this conclusion based on a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052545
Historically, inflation is negatively correlated with stock returns, leading investors to fear inflation. We document using a variety of measures that this association became positive in the U.S. during the 2008-2015 period. We then show how an off-the-shelf New Keynesian model can reproduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065800
order to identify the effect of monetary policy and risk premium shocks. Estimates from the same model for Canada, Sweden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003935145
A large number of measures for monitoring risk and uncertainty surrounding macroeconomic and financial outcomes have been proposed in the literature, and these measures are frequently used by market participants, policy makers, and researchers in their analyses. However, risk and uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277