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experiments than in real life. We modify standard risky choice protocols by making participants earn their money at risk by … completing manual tasks such as peeling potatoes. This leads to less risk-taking and to choices more consistent with those online … survey respondents anticipate making with their own money. When realistic levels of risk aversion are important, experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865102
This paper provides new evidence on the formation and anchoring process of expectations. We conduct a game experiment and measure the convergence of inflation expectations as well as the impact of credible targets in central banking. In addition, we evaluate the idiosyncratic variables of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114110
The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase in uncertainty regarding the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the policy reaction of the enlarged council will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319301
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013430594
This paper studies the design of optimal time-consistent monetary policy in an economy where the planner trusts its own model, while a representative household uses a set of alternative probability distributions governing the evolution of the exogenous state of the economy. In such environments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240307
-known success-probability criterion adapted to settings characterized by model uncertainty. We apply this decision criterion to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959549
risk, potential asymmetries in policy objectives, the ability to learn from policy actions, and private sector uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999871
This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for fifteen key euro area trade partners and the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567
between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler (1989) maxmin with multiple priors framework to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122330
Several recent papers are devoted to the examination of the central banker's behaviour in an uncertain economic environment. This paper proposes, from a central banker's point of view, a synthesis of the main sources of uncertainty as well as an illustration of their effects within an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138796