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and uncertainty? We build a model where countries disagree on policy targets and how policies affect the economies, and … show that uncertainty not only determines the type of cooperative policy but also whether countries want to cooperate at … all. Countries facing larger model disagreement also need to face larger uncertainty with respect to policy spillovers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966668
estimate a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty … and financial sector effects of uncertainty. In that respect, we compare the impacts of a US and a Euro area uncertainty … shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691548
a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty … and financial sector effects of uncertainty. In that respect, we compare the impacts of a US and a Euro area uncertainty … shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110907
a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty … and financial sector effects of uncertainty. In that respect, we compare the impacts of a US and a Euro area uncertainty … shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640939
Nowadays communication is acknowledged as a central bank tool to guide markets expectations. Speeches vary in topics, which are not discriminated ex-ante by text analysis. In this paper we develop a topic-weighted central bank sentiment index as a combination of machine learning and text...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313963
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387171
and risk sharing. The welfare gains from coordination are found to be largest when there is risk sharing and the … elasticity of substitution between home and foreign goods is greater than unity. When there is no risk sharing the gains to … coordination are almost zero. It is also shown that the welfare gain from risk sharing can be negative when monetary policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320210
We use the recently created monthly Interest Rate Uncertainty measure, to investigate monetary policy uncertainty … most consistent net transmitters of monetary policy uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256519
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010485252
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011943970