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On the influence of US monetary policy on crude oil price volatility
Amendola, Alessandra; Candila, Vincenzo; Scognamillo, … - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 52 (2017) 1, pp. 155-178
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011631589
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Narrative sign restrictions for SVARs
Antolín-Díaz, Juan; Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco - 2016
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570683
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Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations : a regime-switching framework for the euro area
Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; Hubrich, Kirstin - 2017
We investigate whether the response of the macro-economy to oil price shocks undergoes episodic changes. Employing a regime-switching vector autoregressive model we identify two regimes that are characterized by qualitatively different patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
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Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations : a regime-switching framework for the euro area
Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; Hubrich, Kirstin - 2017
We investigate whether the response of the macro-economy to oil price shocks undergoes episodic changes. Employing a regime-switching vector autoregressive model we identify two regimes that are characterized by qualitatively different patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709632
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Sign restrictions and statistical identification under volatility breaks : simulation based evidence and an empirical application to monetary policy analysis ; conference paper
Herwartz, Helmut; Plödt, Martin - 2014
Apart from a priori assumptions on instantaneous or long run effects of structural shocks, sign restrictions have become a prominent means for structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) analysis. Moreover, second order heterogeneity of systems of times series can be fruitfully exploited for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482469
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Monetary Policy and the Oil Futures Market
Eickmeier, Sandra - 2016
We assess the transmission of monetary policy shocks on oil prices using a VAR model. We identify monetary policy and financial activity shocks disentangled from demand and oil supply shocks using sign restrictions. We obtain the following main findings. (i) Monetary policy and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988800
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Monetary Policy and the Oil Futures Market
Eickmeier, Sandra - 2013
We assess the transmission of monetary policy shocks on oil prices using a VAR model. We identify monetary policy and financial activity shocks disentangled from demand and oil supply shocks using sign restrictions. We obtain the following main findings. (i) Monetary policy and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080344
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Global impacts of US monetary policy uncertainty shocks
Lastauskas, Povilas; Nguyen, Anh D. M. - 2021
We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy … shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances of local structural shocks from a stochastic volatility specification …. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between the endogenous variables and time-varying volatility in the global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418859
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The impacts of global risk and US monetary policy on US Dollar exchange rates and excess currency returns
Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut; Trienens, Lasse - 2023
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
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A Medium Scale Forecasting Model for Monetary Policy
Beauchemin, Kenneth R. - 2011
This paper presents a 16-variable Bayesian VAR forecasting model of the U.S. economy for use in a monetary policy setting. The variables that comprise the model are selected not only for their effectiveness in forecasting the primary variables of interest, but also for their relevance to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119096