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Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low … inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons … for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy prices since the beginning of 2021. However, there are further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012667065
Empirical evidence suggests consumers rely on their shopping experiences to form beliefs about inflation. In other …. Learning by shopping anchors households' beliefs about inflation to its past, causing disagreement with firms over the value of … inflation, increases the degree of anchoring of households' inflation expectations, and flattens the slope of the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069687
This paper investigates the impact of ECB communication of its assessment of the economic outlook on ex-ante inflation … forecasts of inflation) but also makes forecasters less uncertain about their own beliefs, thus reducing ex-ante average … individual uncertainty. By combining and exploiting these types of ex-ante inflation uncertainty, results suggest that central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603073
Producing and revealing inflation forecasts is believed to be the best way of implementing a forward-looking monetary … policy. The article focuses on inflation forecast targeting (IFT) at the Czech National Bank (CNB) in terms of its efficiency … in shaping consumers' inflation expectations. The goal of the study is to verify accuracy of the inflation forecasts, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002259
Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept … of inflation forecast targeting (IFT), inflation forecasts play a crucial role in the instrument rate decision …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802291
The popularity of inflation targeting has risen in the last decade and the number of countries that adopted inflation … targeting as their monetary policy framework surpassed 40 by the end of 2016. This study analyzes whether inflation targeting … around the world has been successful in terms of achieving the announced target and keeping inflation rate around it. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016727
long run Phillips curve recorded -0.75 in Sweden and -0.23 in the United States. While the average inflation rate in the … United States was very close to its targeted level, the average inflation rate in Sweden was 0.6 per- centage points below … its targeted level over the sample period. The deviation of inflation rate from its targeted level in Sweden resulted in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179358
In this paper, we study how inflation is viewed by the general population of New Zealand. Based on unique … aspects of how laypersons perceive inflation and form inflation expectations. We focus on how an individual's economic … situation, information search and interest in inflation, economic knowledge, and attitudes and values are related to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794056
In this paper, we study how inflation is viewed by the general population of New Zealand. Based on unique … aspects of how laypersons perceive inflation and form inflation expectations. We focus on how an individual's economic … situation, information search and interest in inflation, economic knowledge, and attitudes and values are related to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803738
that the inflation bias can persist even when the central bank commits. A simple model is presented in which the central … bank precommits by setting the policy instrument, and the subsequent adjustment of inflation expectations is part of the … transmission mechanism. Generally there is still an inflation bias, despite the absence of a time-inconsistency problem. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419400