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. Consistent with theories of opportunistic political cycles, this pattern is stronger when election outcomes are uncertain or in …
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(1975 - 2009). We find an increase in the growth rate of M1 during election months of about one tenth of a standard … is related to systemic vote buying which requires significant amounts of cash at election times. The finely timed …
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increase in the growth rate of M1 during election months of about one tenth of a standard deviation. A similar effect can … neither be detected in established OECD democracies nor in the months leading up to the election. The effect is larger in … election month monetary expansion is demand driven and can be best explained by systemic vote buying. Systemic vote buying …
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higher during election years, and reduce lending patterns thereafter. The study shows that countries that enforce monetary … regulatory independence of the central bank dampens the positive effect of elections on bank lending around election years while … they amplify the reductive effects on bank lending after election periods. There is a wake-up call for countries with weak …
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elections. Using annual, quarterly, and monthly data to define the election year, we find that international reserves fall …
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