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product-market and labor-market shocks on prices and nominal wages and to quantify the sources of U.S. pandemic-era inflation …, most of the inflation surge that began in 2021 was the result of shocks to prices given wages. These shocks included sharp …We answer the question posed by the title by specifying and estimating a simple dynamic model of prices, wages, and …
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The economic characteristics of the COVID-19 crisis differ from those of previous crises. It is a combination of demand- and supply-side constraints which led to the formation of a monetary overhang that will be unfrozen once the pandemic ends. Monetary policy must take this effect into...
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the inflation–unemployment dynamics during the recession and COVID-19 times in India and the UK. Using a generalized … recession and eventually turn to stagflation in India due to inflation caused by the weak supply side. However, in the UK, the …
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We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the … near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most …
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