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This paper extends the standard New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to agents who cannot smooth consumption (i.e. spenders) and are affected by external consumption habits. Although these assumptions are not new, their joint consideration strongly affects some...
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% of consumers form theory-consistent expectations with respect to all three concepts. For the Taylor Rule and the Phillips …. Evaluating determinants of consistency, we provide evidence that the likelihood of having theory-consistent expectations with … with theory-consistent expectations have lower absolute inflation forecast errors and are closer to professionals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201163
% consistent with the Taylor rule and 34% are in line with the Phillips curve. However, only 6% of consumers form theory … target. Finally, consumers with theory-consistent expectations have lower absolute ination forecast errors and are closer to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425155
We examine the effect of monetary policy on household spending when households are indebted and interest rates on outstanding loans are linked to short-term interest rates. Using administrative data on balance sheets and consumption expenditure of Swedish households, we reveal the cash-flow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900523
We examine the cash-flow channel of monetary policy, i.e. the effect of monetary policy on spending when households hold debt linked to short-term rates such as adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs). Using registry-based data on Swedish households, we estimate substantial heterogeneity in consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969777
We use daily survey data from Gallup to assess whether households' beliefs about economic conditions are influenced by surprises in monetary policy announcements. We first provide more general evidence that public confidence in the state of the economy reacts to certain types of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227486