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Measurement error in historical data distorts descriptive analyses based on binary classifications. Modern replications … of deficiencies in retrospective CPI estimates for the 19th century show that measurement issues cause misclassification …. Using various approaches to control for measurement error in 19th century US CPI data, a series of stylized facts emerge: (i …
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We employ real-time data available to the US monetary policy makers to estimate a Taylor rule augmented with a measure of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112207
We employ real-time data available to the US monetary policy makers to estimate a Taylor rule augmented with a measure of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914111
This paper investigates the effectiveness of monetary-fiscal policies interaction on price and output growth in Nigeria. The dynamic correlations of variables have been captured by the analyses of impulse response and variance decomposition. From innovation analyses, the results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474838
The macroeconomic models used by major institutions including the Federal Reserve and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) failed to predict the inflation surge during 2021-2023. The output gap, the unemployment gap, the New Keynesian Phillips curve and inflation expectations did not give...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015057216
I study the link between real activity and deflation, taking into account measurement problems in 19th century CPI data …. Replications based on modern data show that measurement problems spuriously increase the volatility of inflation as well as the … substantially lower during 19th century deflations in the US, after controlling for measurement error using an IV …
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This paper presents empirical evidence supporting the view that US monetary conditions matter for firms in the global capital market. We show the effects of three risk measures, domestic bank interest rates spreads, US bank interest rates spread, and US market price of interest rate risk on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133706