. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …

), the problem of instability is simply transferred to inflation rate differentials, what we call the (impossibility of the …) "uncovered inflation rate parity condition" in a monetary union. The analysis of the actual divergences and imbalances in the EMU …, then, suggests that failure to respect the "uncovered inflation rate parity condition" in a monetary union may lead to …