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talk about the economy? We propose a simple framework that allows us to estimate communication rules in the United States … based on text analysis with regularized regressions. We find strong evidence for systematic communication rules that vary …’s communication rule and use it to investigate how much of the disagreement between the market and the Fed come from disagreement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264958
The New-Keynesian Taylor-Rule model of inflation determination with no role for money is incomplete. As Cochrane (2007a) argues, it has no credible mechanism for ruling out bubbles and as a result fails to provide a reason for private agents to pick a unique stable path. We propose a way...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898757
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The economic crisis that began in 2007 and still lingers has invited comparison with the Great Depression of the 1930s. It has also generated renewed interest in Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz's explanation of the latter as mainly the consequence of the Fed's failure as a lender of last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191681
There is a profound misconception amongst certain commentators on money and banking: that quantitative easing creates new money. The misconception is either: (1) that new money is injected into the economy; (2) newly created excess reserves can be used by the banks to make new loans. Neither of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083027
It is considered inapt for central banks to adjust reserve money (quantity of money) and interest rate (price of money) at the same time. Thus, necessitates the need for a choice instrument. Enough evidence abounds in microeconomic theory on the undesirability of manipulating both price and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473693
The literature on optimal monetary policy typically makes three major assumptions: (1) policymakers' preferences are quadratic, (2) the economy is linear, and (3) stochastic shocks and policymakers' prior beliefs about unobserved variables are normally distributed. This paper relaxes the third...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059212
This paper reconsiders the link between tight money policies and inflation in the spirit of Sargent and Wallace's (1981) influential paper "Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic". A standard neoclassical model with production, capital, bonds, and return-dominated currency is used to study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014126294
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