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We propose a model to compute short-term forecasts of the Euro area GDP growth in real-time. To allow for forecast … available at the time of each forecast. In this context, we provide examples that show how data revisions and data availability … affect point forecasts and forecast uncertainty …
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Against the background of the recent housing boom and bust in countries such as Spain and Ireland, we investigate in this paper the macroeconomic consequences of cross-border banking in monetary unions such as the euro area. For this purpose, we incorporate in an otherwise standard two-region...
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