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pronounced before recessions. The results obtained from a panel probit model confirm that the divergence between the Divisia and … the simple sum aggregate has a significant predictive content for recessions in euro area countries. …
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In 1936-37, the Federal Reserve doubled the reserve requirements imposed on member banks. Ever since, the question of whether the doubling of reserve requirements increased reserve demand and produced a contraction of money and credit, and thereby helped to cause the recession of 1937-1938, has...
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Thesis (PhDBusinessandManagement)--University of South Australia, 2004.
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Despite the long history and the substantial evidence supporting the conclusion that persistent changes in the price level are associated with changes in the money supply, the predicted association remains dis-puted. Is it debated because the empirical relationship holds over time periods so...
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This Economic Letter compares the historical predictive value of monetary aggregates in forecasting inflation in the United States and in the euro area.
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