Showing 1 - 10 of 1,105
regression and simulation-based least-squares Monte Carlo method by using put-call symmetry. The results show that, for a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022212
Bayesian forecasting is a natural product of a Bayesian approach to inference. The Bayesian approach in general …. In Bayesian forecasting, one simply takes a subset of the unknown quantities to be future values of some variables of … interest. This chapter presents the principles of Bayesian forecasting, and describes recent advances in computational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023705
In this paper we use Monte Carlo simulation to investigate the impact of effect size heterogeneity on the results of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325529
An algorithm to generate samples with approximate first-, second-, and third-order moments is presented extending the Cholesky matrix decomposition to a Cholesky tensor decomposition of an arbitrary order. The tensor decomposition of the first-, second-, and third-order objective moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532225
We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
sophisticated neural network simulation techniques is explored. In all examples considered in this paper – a bimodal distribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374406
Adaptive Polar Sampling (APS) is proposed as a Markov chain Monte Carlomethod for Bayesian analysis of models with ill-behaved posteriordistributions. In order to sample efficiently from such a distribution,a location-scale transformation and a transformation to polarcoordinates are used. After...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302625
In non-experimental sciences the errors associated with model misspecifications in primarystudies carry over to meta-analysis. We use Monte Carlo simulations to analyse the effects ofthese misspecifications on results of a meta-analysis using a meta-estimator that calculates asimple average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343283
and smoother and the simulation smoother which do not rely on a linear Gaussian observation equation. Furthermore, results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348357
their performance in simulation experiments. This leads to a list of eight methodologic aspirations. Against their … background we criticize aspects of many simulation studies that have been used in the past to compare competing estimators for … simulation design inspired by an analysis of the (non-)invariance properties of estimators and occasionally by available higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348362