China has experienced large improvements in mortality rates, but there remain substantial variations at the provincial … level. This paper develops new models to project mortality at both the national and provincial levels in China. We propose … comprehensive database containing mortality data for 31 provinces over the period 1982–2010. The baseline two-level model with a …

Cohort effects are important factors in determining the evolution of human mortality for certain countries. Extensions … of dynamic mortality models with cohort features have been proposed in the literature to account for these factors under … the generalised linear modelling framework. In this paper we approach the problem of mortality modelling with cohort …

Cohort effects are important factors in determining the evolution of human mortality for certain countries. Extensions … of dynamic mortality models with cohort features have been proposed in the literature to account for these factors under … the generalised linear modelling framework. In this paper we approach the problem of mortality modelling with cohort …

We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables with the example of age-specific mortality in the U … jointly with the latent variables underlying mortality of all age classes. In contrast to previous models, a similar … forecasts for particular age classes. A structural analysis of the relationship between age-specific mortality and covariates is …

We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables, using the example of age-specific mortality in the … their dynamics jointly with the latent variables underlying mortality of all age classes. In contrast to previous models, a … for particular age classes. A structural analysis of the relationship between age-specific mortality and covariates is …

Multi-population mortality forecasting has become an increasingly important area in actuarial science and demography …, as a means to avoid long-run divergence in mortality projection. This paper aims to establish a unified state …-space Bayesian framework to model, estimate and forecast mortality rates in a multi-population context. In this regard, we …

The persistent correlations between income and mortality, and inequality and mortality in the US is well established … the best model for explaining cross-sectional variations in mortality at the county level. The results provide a best set … uncover a robust nonlinear income-inequality-mortality relationship that challenges typical assumptions in the literature …

The mortality dynamics experienced in the latest decades, especially at adult and old ages, has motivated the … introduction of major innovations in the modeling of mortality for actuarial applications; such innovations concern, in particular …, the representation of the uncertainty relating to aggregate mortality.In this paper, we first provide a description of the …

Bayesian Model Ensemble of heterogeneous stochastic mortality models comprised of parametric models, principal component …

Mortality risk models have been developed to capture trends and common factors driving mortality improvement. Multiple … is necessary to take into account the richer age structure of mortality improvement from young ages to middle and then …