In this paper we address the problem of projecting mortality when data are severely affected by random fluctuations, due in particular to a small sample size, or when data are scanty. Such situations may emerge when dealing with small populations, such as small countries (possibly previously...

Uncertainty in mortality and disability trends, from which the longevity risk in living benefits arises, is discussed. The financial impact of longevity risk on life annuities, sickness benefits for the elderly and long-term care covers is then analysed, focussing in particular solvency...