Gerardi, Kristopher; Herkenhoff, Kyle F.; Ohanian, Lee E.; … - 2013
(including unsecured debt, liquid assets, and illiquid assets) play in default decisions. In sharp contrast to prior studies that … strongest predictor of default. We find that individual unemployment increases the probability of default by 5 - 13 percentage … points, ceteris paribus, compared with the sample average default rate of 3.9 percent. We also find that only 13.9 percent of …