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Sweden is experiencing double-digit housing price gains alongside rising household debt. A common interpretation is that mortgage lending boosted by expansionary monetary policy is driving up house prices. But theory suggests the value of housing collateral is also important for household's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996083
Aggregate consumption typically exceeds 60 per cent of GDP and should be pivotal in central bank policy models. Most use semi-structural macro-models, yet consumption is usually inadequately specified. We use a systems approach to estimate new equations for South African consumption, house...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015273030
This paper assesses how the degree of the mortgage market flexibility alters the effect of a residential house price shock on household credit and GDP. We estimate a panel vector autoregression model for a sample of 16 OECD countries for the period 1985Q1-2012Q4 and we identify a house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012915
Over the past decade, credit has grown significantly in Peru, a small and partially dollarised economy, and the mounting credit risk attached to foreign currency credit created severe challenges for financial regulators. This paper assesses the effectiveness of two macroprudential measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942934
We document that there are strong complementarities between monetary policy and macroprudential policy in shaping the evolution of bank credit. We use a unique loanlevel dataset comprising multiple credit registers from several European countries and different types of loans, including corporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390482
We evaluate the impact of mortgage regulation on credit volumes, household balance sheets and the reaction to adverse economic shocks. Using a comprehensive dataset of all housing transactions in Norway matched with buyers' balance sheet information from official tax records, we identify causal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829488
This paper studies how mortgage borrowers and house prices react to a tightening of mortgage limits following a policy change in Ireland in 2015. The policy introduced limits to the loan-to-income and loan-to-value ratios of new mortgages issued. In response to a tightening borrowing constraint,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490418
We evaluate the impact of mortgage regulation on credit volumes, household balance sheets and the reaction to adverse economic shocks. Using a comprehensive dataset of all housing transactions in Norway matched with buyers' balance sheet information from official tax records, we identify causal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262509
At year-end of 2016, upward trend of retail credit exposure on bank loans resumed. Growth was entirely due to residential loans segment in the context of consumer lending shrinking. Shift in the debt structure in favor of cheaper and long-term credits issued for residential purchases secured...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959660
We build a model of the U.S. economy with multiple aggregate shocks (income, housing finance conditions, and beliefs about future housing demand) that generate fluctuations in equilibrium house prices. Through a series of counterfactual experiments, we study the housing boom and bust around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946860