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. Consequently, shocks that lower house prices may trigger one of the necessary conditions for default: negative equity. A common … alternative contract attempts to prevent default by imposing full-recourse. This may cause individuals who believe they are likely … to default to rent; however, it does not prevent those who buy from experiencing negative equity. I consider a contract …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410355
(including unsecured debt, liquid assets, and illiquid assets) play in default decisions. In sharp contrast to prior studies that … strongest predictor of default. We find that individual unemployment increases the probability of default by 5 - 13 percentage … points, ceteris paribus, compared with the sample average default rate of 3.9 percent. We also find that only 13.9 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009778409
Borrowers' housing equity is an important component of their wealth and a critical determinant of their vulnerability to shocks. In this paper, we create a unique data set that allows us to provide a comprehensive look at the ratio of housing debt to housing values - what we refer to as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523769
purchase mortgages to subprime borrowers. We also document that the expansion in speculative mortgage products and underwriting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895606
Excessive household borrowing has been identified as an important determinant of financial crises. Borrower-based macroprudential instruments have been proposed as a possible remedy. In Germany, two instruments have been available to macroprudential supervisors since 2017: a cap on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589225
borrowers' default rates on mortgages and nonmortgage debts by about 40 percent and 25 percent, respectively. Refinancing also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806262
We analyze the effect of import competition on household balance sheets from 2000 to 2007 using individual data on consumer finances. We exploit variation in exposure to foreign competition using industry-level shipping costs and initial differences in regions' industry specialization. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708618
Encouraging consumers to seek out and switch to lower-rate mortgages is important both for the individual consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975110
data from a major Danish bank. We examine the behavior of borrowers with adjustable rate mortgages, and exploit that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361501
' current debt service ratio. In doing so we address gaps in the existing literature on modelling default and stress testing … increase in new default flows. We also test for heterogeneous effects across households and find younger, low income households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011986617