Showing 1 - 10 of 417
In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the sequential empirical process and the sequential empirical copula process, both constructed from residuals of multivariate stochastic volatility models. Applications for the detection of structural changes and specification tests of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654178
We develop a test of equality between two dependence structures estimated through empirical copulas. We provide inference for independent or paired samples. The multiplier central limit theorem is used for calculating p-values of the Crameacute;r-von Mises test statistic. Finite sample properties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003550857
In practice, multivariate dependencies of extreme risks are often only assessed in a pairwise way. We propose a novel test to detect when bivariate simplifications produce misleading results. This occurs when a significant portion of the multivariate dependence structure in the tails is of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010246746
We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377261
An accurate assessment of tail inequalities and tail asymmetries of financial returns is key for risk management and portfolio allocation. We propose a new test procedure for detecting the full extent of such structural differences in the dependence of bivariate extreme returns. We decompose the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958215
This paper concerns goodness-of-fit test for semiparametric copula models. Our contribution is two-fold: we first propose a new test constructed via the comparison between "in-sample" and "out-of-sample" pseudolikelihoods, which avoids the use of any probability integral transformations. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009789426
The asymmetry in the tail dependence between U.S. equity portfolios and the aggregate U.S. market is a well-established property. Given the limited number of observations in the tails of a joint distribution, standard non-parametric measures of tail dependence have poor finite-sample properties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006268
We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047091
In this paper, we propose an intuitive way to couple several dynamic time series models by inducing dependence between the so-called generalized errors of each model. This extends previous work for modelling dependance between innovations of stochastic volatility models. We consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918747
This paper examines international equity market co-movements using time-varying copulae. We examine distributions from the class of Symmetric Generalized Hyperbolic (SGH) distributions for modelling univariate marginals of equity index returns. We show based on the goodness-of-fit testing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098515