In the USA a high relative price of housing is associated with log GDP growth over the following 5 years. It is possible to forecast the great recession using this pattern and a trend both estimated with 20th century data. The forecast recession is even more severe than the actual recession

Das Gesetz zur steuerlichen Förderung der Mitarbeiterkapitalbeteiligung rückt die Verteilungssituation in Deutschland ins Blickfeld. Mittels einer profunden Analyse der Vermögensverteilung in Deutschland anhand der Daten des Sozio-oekonomischen Panels wird in dieser Arbeit die gegenwärtige...

The goal of this paper is to examine the responsiveness of the UK housing market to real and nominal shocks. To achieve this goal, we use a structural VAR model, based on quarterly data for the period 1957:1-2009:4. We find that in response to an interest rate shock, house prices (aggregate...