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This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices …
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the variation in the GDP in Canada. My findings suggest that TFP news shock is the key driver of GDP in the medium run and …
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(GDP). Canadian provincial GDP is released by Statistics Canada on an annual basis only, with a significant lag (11 months … showcase the significant regional heterogeneity that characterizes a large diverse country like Canada. They also provide more …
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This paper estimates a dynamic factor model (DFM) for nowcasting Canadian gross domestic product. The model is estimated with a mix of soft and hard indicators, and it features a high share of international data. The model is then used to generate nowcasts, predictions of the recent past and...
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