In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into account cross-country interdependencies. Specifically,we...

The findings from the VECM for BBS data reveal that there is a positive and significant relationship between FD and GDPGR, supporting the Keynesian theory, while findings from the VECM for World Bank data indicate that the impact of Fiscal Deficit (FD) on GDPGR is mild but negative and...

This study empirically investigates the impact on per capita real economic growth of each of the ten measures of economic freedom computed annually by the Heritage Foundation. Within the context of the Random Effects Model, panel least squares estimations using a 5-year panel (2004 through 2008)...

Mazziero, Maurizio, Baggiani, Leonardo, Fait, Silvano and Lawford, Andrew, Italia 2011: Un Anno Di Sofferenza (Italy 2011: A Year of Sufferance) (February 18, 2012). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2007513 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2007513 Mazziero, Maurizio, Italia 3 Trim...

This study, in Italian language, examines the quarterly evolution of Italy's sovereign debt, its stock of government bonds, official reserves, GDP and balance of trade, inflation and unemployment. Please see also: Mazziero, Maurizio, 2010: Un Altro Anno a Debito per l'Italia (2010: Another Year...

This study, in Italian language, examines the quarterly evolution of Italy's sovereign debt, its stock of government bonds, GDP and inflation. Please see also: 2010: Mazziero, Maurizio, 2010: Un Altro Anno a Debito per l'Italia (2010: Another Year of Debt for Italy) (April 10, 2011). Available...

Research into the state of the Italian economy based on official economic data; the current Sovereign Debt, Official Reserves, GDP, Inflation and Unemployment situation is presented and and compared with the past. Please see also: Mazziero, Maurizio, Baggiani, Leonardo, Fait, Silvano and Lawford,...

Questo Quaderno di Ricerca pone sotto osservazione i dati economici italiani, esaminando l'evoluzione trimestrale del debito pubblico, dello stock di Titoli di Stato, delle Riserve ufficiali, della crescita del Pil, dell'inflazione e della disoccupazione.This study, in Italian language, examines...