These notes aim at giving a broad skill set to the actuarial profession in insurance pricing and data science. We start from the classical world of generalized linear models, generalized additive models and credibility theory. These methods form the basis of the deeper statistical understanding....

The aim of this project is to analyze high-frequency GPS location data (second per second) of individual car drivers (and trips). We extract feature information about speeds, acceleration, deceleration, and changes of direction from this high-frequency GPS location data. Time series of this...

We define the nagging predictor, which, instead of using bootstrapping to produce a series of i.i.d. predictors, exploits the randomness of neural network calibrations to provide a more stable and accurate predictor than is available from a single neural network run. Convergence results for the...