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The forecast performance of the empirical ESTAR model of Taylor, Peel and Sarno (2001) is examined for 4 bilateral real … and their forecasts. It is shown graphically that the nonlinearity in the point forecasts of the ESTAR model decreases as … ESTAR specification over a simple AR(1) model. …
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The forecast performance of the empirical ESTAR model of Taylor, Peel and Sarno (2001) is examined for 4 bilateral real … and their forecasts. It is shown graphically that the nonlinearity in the point forecasts of the ESTAR model decreases as … ESTAR specification over a simple AR(1) model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523710
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418139
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This paper builds on the work of Deaton and Laroque (2003) by formulating a nonlinear model of commodity prices. The paper makes three distinct contributions. First, a nonlinear model is constructed that explains long-run dynamics of commodity price behavior; secondly, more recent data is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010900684
This paper attempts to model the price relationship between the major exporters of wheat. The motivation of such research is to reveal whether prices are integrated and whether potential nonlinearities in price adjustment exist. Given the perception that transactions costs may be highly variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008477208
Rapach and Wohar (2006). Moreover, we illustrate graphically that the nonlinearity in the forecasts from the ESTAR model is … also illustrate graphically why one step-ahead forecasts from the nonlinear ESTAR model fail to yield superior predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135159