We empirically investigate whether the relationship between interest rates and public deficits/debt may be nonlinear for the U.S. Using threshold estimation, we find evidence of level-dependent effects on interest rates, implying a significant effect of projected deficits and debt in the U.S....

In this paper we characterise fiscal policy in terms of non-linear processes. We find that government spending and taxes can be described as being non-linear trend stationary processes instead of unit roots. A long run equilibrium relationship - a non-linear co-trend - does exist between the two...

Most studies on the effects of debt on growth, particularly following the global financial crisis, have focused mainly on the advanced and emerging countries. Our focus on sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) derives from the recent experience of slow growth at a time of rising debt in the sub-region. This...

This study focuses on the empirical tests for the sustainability and solvency of fiscal policies in Algeria using a nonlinear model approach, based on quarterly data from 1963Q1 to 2017Q1 on the Algerian budget balance-GDP. Empirical evidence indicates that the adjustment behavior of the budget...

We empirically investigate whether the relationship between interest rates and public deficits/debt may be nonlinear for the U.S. Using threshold estimation, we find evidence of level-dependent effects on interest rates, implying a significant effect of projected deficits and debt in the U.S....

We analyse the dynamics of public debt in Serbia between 2004Q3 and 2014Q3. Our results are as follows: i) traditional unit root tests do not reject the unit root hypothesis for public debt; ii) unit root tests robust to sample size and high AR (1) coefficient provide mixed evidence with respect...

During the sovereign debt crisis, all euro countries have deployed "austerity packages", believing that they could regain the path of growth implementing structural reforms and cutting government spending. Such policies should have led to an initial decline in GDP followed by recovery and a...