This paper introduces a new family of Bayesian semi-parametric models for the conditional distribution of daily stock index returns. The proposed models capture key stylized facts of such returns, namely heavy tails, asymmetry, volatility clustering, and leverage. A Bayesian nonparametric prior...

This paper is concerned with the construction of a continuous parameter sequence of random probability measures and its application for modeling random phenomena evolving in continuous time. At each time point we have a random probability measurewhich is generated by a Bayesian nonparametric...

An approach to constructing strictly stationary AR(1)-type models with arbitrary stationary distributions and a flexible dependence structure is introduced. Bayesian nonparametric predictive density functions, based on single observations, are used to construct the one-step ahead predictive...