Showing 1 - 10 of 1,016
We consider the problem of ex-ante forecasting conditional correlation patterns using ultra high frequency data. Flexible semiparametric predictors referring to the class of dynamic panel and dynamic factor models are adopted for daily forecasts. The parsimonious set up of our approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296287
In this paper bilateral models formalizing monthly growth of US imports and exports are employed to investigate the potential of nonlinear relationships linking exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth. Parametric linear and nonlinear as well as semiparametric time series models are evaluated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439
In this paper sequential monitoring schemes to detect nonparametric drifts are studied for the random walk case. The procedure is based on a kernel smoother. As a by-product we obtain the asymptotics of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator and its associated sequential partial sum process under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296634
We provide a set of probabilistic laws for range-based estimation of integrated variance of a continuous semi-martingale. To accomplish this, we exploit the properties of the price range as a volatility proxy and suggest a new method for non-parametric measurement of return variation. Assuming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296680
We propose weighted repeated median filters and smoothers for robust non-parametric regression in general and for robust signal extraction from time series in particular. The proposed methods allow to remove outlying sequences and to preserve discontinuities (shifts) in the underlying regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296694
An attractive nonparametric method to detect change-points sequentially is to apply control charts based on kernel smoothers. Recently, the strong convergence of the associated normed delay associated with such a sequential stopping rule has been studied under sequences of out-of-control models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306249
Motivated by applications in statistical quality control and signal analysis, we propose a sequential detection procedure which is designed to detect structural changes, in particular jumps, immediately. This is achieved by modifying a median filter by appropriate kernel-based jump preserving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306263
We assume that some consistent estimator of an equilibrium relation between non-stationary fractionally integrated series is used in a first step to compute residuals (or differences thereof). We propose to apply the semiparametric log-periodogram regression to the (differenced) residuals in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323712
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324022
In this paper data-driven algorithms for fitting SEMIFAR models (Beran, 1999) are proposed. The algorithms combine the data-driven estimation of the nonparametric trend and maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters. For selecting the bandwidth, the proposal of Beran and Feng (1999) based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324024