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This study is designed to model and forecast Nigeria's stock market using the AllShare Index (ASI) as a proxy. By … studyanalyzes the stock market volatility in three distinct regimes (accumulation or distri-bution - regime 1; big-move - regime 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012513279
The contributions of error distributions have been ignored while modeling stock market volatility in Nigeria and … studies have shown that the application of appropriate error distribution in volatility model enhances efficiency of the model …. Using Nigeria All Share Index from January 2, 2008 to February 11, 2013, this study estimates first order symmetric and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
-of-the-week effects in returns and volatility using the Nigerian stock exchange (NSE-30). The Gaussian, Student-t, and the Generalized … are sensitive to error distribution. Our finding also shows that evidence of good or bad news in volatility does not only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471089
In this paper, we examine the Nigerian stock market sector returns and estimate the bull and bear betas using the Logistic Smooth Threshold Market (LSTM) model. The LSTM model specification follows from the linear Constant Risk Market (CRM) model. We estimate the LSTM model for the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473527
This paper examines the effect of foreign exchange news announcements on the volatility of stock returns in Nigeria … market volatility in Nigeria under symmetric conditional variance. However, there was strong evidence of asymmetric effect … volatility equations. The empirical results revealed a positive and significant effect of exchange news announcements on stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843827
volatility of Nigeria and Kenya stock returns react to market shock faster than as other countries do. The results also suggest … dummy on two innovation assumptions using daily all share index of Nigeria, Kenya, United States, Germany, South Africa and … volatility reaction to market shocks and volatility persistence alongside the asymmetric properties. The results reveal that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460578
incorporation of structural breaks while estimating volatility in the Nigerian stock market. This will help to avoid over-estimation …This study examines the volatility persistence and asymmetry with exogenous breaks in Nigerian stock market. The study … of volatility shocks and restore investor's confidence in the stock market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922754
The estimation of inflation volatility is important to Central Banks as it guides their policy initiatives for … Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) family with a view to providing a parsimonious approximation to the dynamics of Nigeria's inflation volatility … the dynamics of headline and core CPI volatilities in Nigeria, while the symmetric GARCH (1,1) was found to be adequate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476231
estimation of volatility models with breaks as against those of GARCH models without volatility breaks and that the introduction … significant events in GARCH models in volatility estimation of key asset prices. …This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476095
(low) and bull (high) regimes. Bear regime (1) leads across the 6 election horizons with lower volatility while the bull … regime (2) records higher volatility in addition to more positive returns. Specifically, presidential election impacts … presidential elections in Nigeria. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348441