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Forecast errors and the macroeconomy : a non-linear relationship?

Fritsche, Ulrich; Döpke, Jörg - 2006 - This version: February 2006

The paper analyses reasons for departures from strong rationality of growth and inflation forecasts based on annual observations from 1963 to 2004. We rely on forecasts from the joint forecast of the so-called "six leading" forecasting institutions in Germany and argue that violations of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426366

Markov-switching MIDAS models

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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909935

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Guérin, Pierre; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935686