A nonparametric version of the Final Prediction Error (FPE) is proposed for lag selection in nonlinear autoregressive time series. We derive its consistency for both local constant and local linear estimators using a derived optimal bandwidth. Further asymptotic analysis suggests a greater...

We introduce a novel non-parametric methodology to test for the dynamical time evolution of the lag-lead structure between two arbitrary time series. The method consists in constructing a distance matrix based on the matching of all sample data pairs between the two time series. Then, the...

This book introduces modern series methods with a focus on applications in econometrics and statistics. It explores how new orthogonal series techniques can address challenges in model building and estimation, particularly for variables with unbounded support, nonparametric nonstationary data,...