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bubbles in the stock market of those countries over the past four decades. …
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The recent financial crisis has demonstrated in an impressive way that boom/bust cycles can have devastating effects on the real economy. This paper aims at contributing to the literature on early warning indicator exercises for asset price development. Using a sample of 17 industrialised OECD...
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In this paper, the authors construct country-specific chronologies of the house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries … price bubbles than the signalling approach. Furthermore, the predictive accuracy of the logit and probit models is high … enough to make them useful in forecasting future speculative bubbles in housing market. Thus, this method can be used by the …
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