Similar Search Results

Oil Price Shocks and Labor Market Fluctuations

Ordóñez Monfort, Javier - 2010

We examine the impact of real oil price shocks on labor market flows in the U.S. We first use smooth transition regression (STR) models to investigate to what extent oil prices can be considered as a driving force of labor market fluctuations. Then we develop and calibrate a modified version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139698

Oil price shocks and labor market fluctuations

Ordóñez, Javier; Sala, Hector; Silva, José Ignacio - In: The energy journal 32 (2011) 3, pp. 89-118

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009309719

The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Job Reallocation

Herrera, Ana María - 2012

This paper investigates the impact of oil price innovations on job creation and job destruction in U.S. manufacturing. We estimate a simultaneous equation model that nests symmetric and asymmetric responses of job flows to oil price shocks. We first explore whether the responses of job creation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096371

Energy Price Shocks, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy

Gnocato, Nicolò - 2023

, weighing more on the jobless due to non-homotheticity and the inability to perfectly insure against unemployment spells. Rising … energy prices induce a novel precautionary saving motive: the consumption losses upon unemployment are increased …, and prevent workers from becoming more exposed to the shock through unemployment …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354473

Understanding the Large Negative Impact of Oil Shocks

Wen, Yi - 2014

This paper offers a plausible explanation for the close link between oil prices and aggregate macroeconomic performance in the 1970s. Although this link has been well documented in the empirical literature, standard economic models are not able to replicate this link when actual oil prices are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012709883

The microeconomics of macroeconomic asymmetric sectoral evidence

Korenok, Oleg (contributor); … - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]

There is now considerable evidence that business cycle variation in output and employment in the U.S. diÞers in expansions and contractions. We present nonparametric evidence that asymmetries are strongest in durable goods manufacturing. In a Markov switching framework, we find two leading...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001934438

The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions

Kilian, Lutz; Vigfusson, Robert J. - 2017

Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain recessions. We provide a formal analysis of this question with special attention to the possible role...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121076

The Effect of Oil Supply Shocks on U.S. Economic Activity : What Have We Learned?

Herrera, Ana Maria - 2018

Estimated responses of real oil prices and US GDP to oil supply disruptions vary widely. We show that most variation is attributable to differences in identification assumptions and estimation techniques. Models that impose a large short-run price elasticity of oil supply imply a larger response...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920412

Oil and US GDP : A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination

Ravazzolo, Francesco - 2010

We study the real-time Granger-causal relationship between crude oil prices and US GDP growth through a simulated out-of-sample (OOS) forecasting exercise; we also provide strong evidence of in-sample predictability from oil prices to GDP. Comparing our benchmark model "without oil" against...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137990

US Oil Price Exposure : The Industry Effects

Bredin, Don - 2012

This paper investigates the exposure of industry level portfolios to oil price shocks. Our paper utilizes the Campbell (1991) decomposition of stock returns based on a log-linear approximation to the discounted present value relation while allowing for time varying expected returns. The results...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114001