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Oil price showed sharp fluctuations in recent years which revived the interest in its effect on inflation. In this paper, we discuss the relationship between oil price and inflation in Spain, at national and regional levels, and making the distinction between energy and non-energy inflation. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496140
We address some of the key questions that arise in forecasting the price of crude oil. What do applied forecasters need … in forecasting the price of oil? How useful are survey forecasts? How does one evaluate the sensitivity of a baseline oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643504
Oil price showed sharp fluctuations in recent years which revived the interest in its effect on inflation. In this paper, we discuss the relationship between oil price and inflation in Spain, at national and regional levels, and making the distinction between energy and non-energy inflation. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389041
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note is among the most cited interest rates by investors, policymakers, and fnancial institutions. We show that the 10-year Treasury yield's forward-looking volatility, a VIX-style measure that is a proxy for uncertainty about future interest rates, is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014530189
Knowledge about rig markets is crucial for understanding the global oil market. In this paper we first develop a simple bargaining model for rig markets. Then we examine empirically the most important drivers for rig rate formation of floaters operating at the Norwegian Continental Shelf in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968602
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189497
usefulness for forecasting real oil prices and global petroleum consumption. We find that world industrial production is one of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213172
models. It also studies the importance of three main risk premia models in explaining and forecasting the risk premia in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130045
This paper attempts to investigate empirically the dynamic relationship among crude oil price, exchange rate and Indian stock market. Using daily data of Crude oil price, Dollar-Rupee value and Nifty returns from April 2010 to March 2015, correlation, regression and Granger-causality approach in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999793
This study examines the long-run relationship between crude oil prices, US dollar exchange rates and the prices of thirty selected international agricultural prices and five international fertilizer prices using panel econometric methods with and without unobserved heterogeneous effects on data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019281