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Empirical relationships between crude oil prices and exchange rates of oil exporting countries tend to vary over time. I use econometric models of the norwegian and canadian nominal exchange rates to investigate whether such time-variation could reflect shifts in the key oil price drivers over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214320
The relationships between crude and product prices are crucial throughout oil markets and especially so within the refining industry, where they define the refinery margin between cost of inputs (crudes) and value of outputs (products). The oil market is global but regional factors are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067163
Previous research has been unable to identify a strong link between oil prices and economic news. We reexamine this …, with the largest jumps in oil prices tending to be preceded identifiable economic news. These results indicate that oil … economic news, rather than speculation unrelated to the economic environment, drives jumps in oil prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940136
This paper analyses the informational efficiency of the WTI crude oil markets using a recently proposed quantitative measure for market inefficiency. The procedure measures the extent to which observed oil price behaviour deviates from the Random Walk benchmark which represents an efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490913
direction, magnitude and significance of impacts are assessed in returns and volatility for price, volume and open interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901423
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This paper identifies five factors that can capture 95% of the variance across 39 US dollar exchange rates based on the principal component method. A time-varying parameter factor-augmented vector autoregressive (TVP-FAVAR) model is used to analyze the determinants of movements in these exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992197
Oil plays a very important role in the Indian economy and the stock market. In India, oil is key factor as nearly 85% of crude oil requirements are fulfilled through imports. It is believed that Indian stock market and crude oil are inversely proportional. In the past, it was seen that when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014439360
This paper considers the question of whether changes in persistence have occurred during the long-run evolution of U.S. prices of the non-renewable energy resources crude oil, natural gas and bituminous coal. Our main contribution is to allow for a structural break when testing for a break in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579658