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reduce crime. However, the empirical evidence on the relationship between economic shocks and criminal behavior is at best … predate. Beyond this basic distinction between an "opportunity cost" and a "rapacity" mechanism that may mediate the effect of … economic shocks on crime, this chapter proposes a simple conceptual framework to understand this nuanced relationship. We posit …
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What would Israel's economy have looked like without the 2000 Palestinian Intifada? We examine this counterfactual question by statistically comparing economic growth trajectories of Israel and a “synthetic” Israel, which we construct by applying a method proposed by Abadie and Gardeazabal...
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We estimate the opportunity cost for Iran due to the Islamic revolution and eight years' war with Iraq (1978/79-1988). We apply the synthetic control method in order to compare Iran with a synthetic Iran and answer this counterfactual question. Our results show that, in total, an average Iranian...
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