In this notes, I argue and show that the so-called Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) is no less than a false prophecy, the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) formula - a perfect rendition of EMH - no more than a parlor trick, and risk-neutral pricing models - generalisations of BSM - severe...

Pricing kernels implicit in option prices play a key role in assessing the risk aversion over equity returns. We deal with nonparametric estimation of the pricing kernel (Empirical Pricing Kernel) given by the ratio of the risk-neutral density estimator and the subjective density estimator. The...

In this paper, we study the statistical properties of the moneyness scaling transformation by Leung and Sircar (2015). This transformation adjusts the moneyness coordinate of the implied volatility smile in an attempt to remove the discrepancy between the IV smiles for levered and unlevered ETF...

We propose a new method to estimate the empirical pricing kernel based on option data. We estimate the pricing kernel nonparametrically by using the ratio of the risk-neutral density estimator and the subjective density estimator. The risk-neutral density is approximated by a weighted kernel...

In this paper the authors introduce the new concept of implied liquidity on the basis of the recent developed two-way price theory (conic finance). Implied liquidity isolates and quantifies in a fundamental way liquidity risk in financial markets. It is shown on real market option data on the...

We analyse the profit-and-loss (P&L) of delta-hedging strategies for vanilla options in the presence of the implied volatility skew and derive an approximation for the P&L under the quadratic parametrization of the implied volatility. We apply this approximation to study the P&L of a straddle, a...

We investigate the effect of including variance derivatives as calibration and hedging instruments for pricing and hedging exotic structures. This is studied empirically using market data for SPX and VIX derivatives applied in a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model

We study the local volatility function in the Foreign Exchange market where both domestic and foreign interest rates are stochastic. This model is suitable to price long-dated FX derivatives. We derive the local volatility function and obtain several results that can be used for the calibration...

In this paper, we investigate model-independent bounds for option prices given market instruments.This super-replication problem can be written as a semi-infinite linear programming problem. As these super-replication prices can be large and the densities Q which achieve the upper bounds quite...