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By reinterpreting the calibration of structural models, a reassessment of the importance of the input variables is undertaken. The analysis shows that volatility is the key parameter to any calibration exercise, by several orders of magnitude. To maximize the sensitivity to volatility, a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619118
) processes. The evidence shows that all tested ARP models fit and predict sovereign CDS prices and their volatility very … level, but not the volatility, of sovereign CDS prices than two factor ARP models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350555
This paper presents a joint analysis of the term structure of credit default swap (CDS) spreads and the implied … volatility surface. The rapid development of the CDS market has provided convenient products to extract credit risk, and its … volatility. Only very few studies analyze the entire smile and the term structure of CDS spreads.The purpose of this paper is to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254192
I propose a new procedure for extracting probabilities of default from structural credit risk models based on model implied credit spreads (MICS) and implement this approach assuming a barrier option framework nesting the Merton (1974) model of capital structure. MICS are the increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119626
standard barrier option approaches. It can be extended to the study of individual CDS for its better liquidity than individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148676
Whereas the callable-bond market used to emphasize primarily public debt - Government Agencies, and both investment grade and non-investment corporate debt - that has changed dramatically over the past twenty years, in part due to the low prevailing rates of interest as well as some systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828696
We present a novel empirical benchmark for analyzing credit risk using “pseudo firms” that purchase traded assets financed with equity and zero-coupon bonds. By no-arbitrage, pseudo bonds are equivalent to Treasuries minus put options on pseudo-firm assets. Empirically, like corporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972376
In recent years, a liquid market for options on a broad credit default swap index (CDX) has developed. We study the extent to which these options are priced consistently with options on a broad equity index (SPX). We consider a rich structural credit risk model in which firm assets follow a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271184
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012194648
Cross-market deviations in equity put option prices and credit default swap spreads are temporal and revert to their usual level shortly after they occur, on average within about one week. The process of reversion involves predictable and economically significant changes also in the equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857332