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interest rates, foreign short interest rates and stochastic volatility. Then, we apply Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method … for pricing American options under our model with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate. Finally, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403184
Betting quotes provide valuable information on market-implied probabilities for outcomes of events like elections or referendums, which may have an impact on exchange rates. We generate exchange rate forecasts around such events based on a model that combines risk-neutral event probabilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854895
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001465153
Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001656178
This paper introduces the Inverse Gamma (IGa) stochastic volatility model with time-dependent parameters, defined by … the volatility dynamics dVt = κt.(θt − Vt).dt λt.Vt.dBt. This non-affine model is much more realistic than classical … affine models like the Heston stochastic volatility model, even though both are as parsimonious (only four stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004351
This paper provides a number of relevant guidelines to build a consistent Volatility Smile accounting for the FX market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967622
known announcements can produce significant distortions in option volatility surfaces. This presents a challenge, or …, frowns and W-shapes. Furthermore, we demonstrate the model's calibration to the observed volatility surface leading up to the … volatility interpolation. Finally, we discuss how the jump probabilities are becoming increasingly observable via alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909785
We propose a Monte-Carlo calibration method for multi-currency Hybrid Local Volatility models a la Dupire. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103617
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922435