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In this paper we explore the dynamics of Implied Volatility Surfaces (IVS) both in a single-currency framework, and in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118291
interest rates, foreign short interest rates and stochastic volatility. Then, we apply Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method … for pricing American options under our model with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate. Finally, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403184
Betting quotes provide valuable information on market-implied probabilities for outcomes of events like elections or referendums, which may have an impact on exchange rates. We generate exchange rate forecasts around such events based on a model that combines risk-neutral event probabilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854895
We propose a Monte-Carlo calibration method for multi-currency Hybrid Local Volatility models a la Dupire. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103617
known announcements can produce significant distortions in option volatility surfaces. This presents a challenge, or …, frowns and W-shapes. Furthermore, we demonstrate the model's calibration to the observed volatility surface leading up to the … volatility interpolation. Finally, we discuss how the jump probabilities are becoming increasingly observable via alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909785
This paper introduces the Inverse Gamma (IGa) stochastic volatility model with time-dependent parameters, defined by … the volatility dynamics dVt = κt.(θt − Vt).dt λt.Vt.dBt. This non-affine model is much more realistic than classical … affine models like the Heston stochastic volatility model, even though both are as parsimonious (only four stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004351
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Spot foreign exchange (FX) rates usually exhibit volatility clustering and regime switching in a finite number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063805
This paper examines the cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options. The data used … common factors can explain a vast proportion of the variation in volatility term structures across currencies. Furthermore …, the results indicate that the euro is the dominant currency, as the implied volatility term structure of the euro is found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318310