We examine the incremental power of a large set of key fundamental, financial, and macroeconomic variables for forecasting the volatility of natural gas futures prices. Among other results, we find that the option implied volatility (IV) significantly improves the performance of predictions...

We consider the problem of hedging European options written on natural gas futures, in a market where prices of traded assets exhibit jumps, by trading in the underlying asset. We provide a general expression for the hedging strategy which minimizes the variance of the terminal hedging error, in...

We analyse a stochastic control problem for the valuation of a natural gas storage facility while taking into account operating characteristics. The underlying natural gas spot price dynamics is assumed to follow time-inhomogeneous exponential Lévy process by F.E. Benth and C. Sgarra. This...