In this paper, we provide an alternative framework for constructing an arbitrage-free European-style option surface. The main motivation for our work is that such a construction has rarely been achieved in the literature so far. The novelty of our approach is that we perform the calibration and...

In this work, we suggest a novel quadratic programming-based algorithm to generate an arbitrage-free call option surface. Our approach relies on a regression spline-based implementation of the framework proposed by Orosi (2011) who presents a multi-parameter extension of the models of Figlewski...

In this study, we investigate how useful the information content of out-of-the-money S&P 500 index call options is to predict the size and direction of the underlying index for the period 2004-2013. First, we demonstrate that behavior of the right tail of the option implied risk-neutral...