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Option pricing models are tools for pricing and hedging derivatives. Good models are complex and the econometrician faces many design decisions when bringing them to the data. I show that strategically constructed low-dimensional filter designs outperform those that try to use all the available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842894
We develop a novel pricing strategy that approximates the value of an American option with exotic features through a portfolio of European options with different maturities. Among our findings, we show that: (i) our model is numerically robust in pricing plain vanilla American options; (ii) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545887
Given that both S&P 500 index and VIX options essentially contain information on the future dynamics of the S&P 500 index, in this study, we set out to empirically investigate the informational roles played by these two option markets with regard to the prediction of returns, volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094125
We derive valuation formulas for caps and floors on backward-looking term rates in the Black-1976, Bachelier and Hull-White-1-Factor models explicitly regarding valuation in the fixing period, extending and detailing results of [Lyashenko & Mercurio 2019, Henrard 2019, Turfus 2020]. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834974
This paper proposes the sample path generation method for the stochastic volatility version of the CGMY process. We present the Monte-Carlo method for European and American option pricing with the sample path generation and calibrate model parameters to the American style S&P 100 index options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012484130
This paper develops a dynamic joint model of the implied volatility (IV) surface and its underlying asset, impervious to arbitrage and quick to estimate. It combines an asymptotically well-behaved, parametric IV surface representation with a two-component variance, and non-Gaussian asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258470
The increasing availability of intraday financial data has led to improvements in daily volatility forecasting through long-memory models of realized volatility. This paper demonstrates the merit of the non-parametric Nearest Neighbor (NN) approach for S&P 100 realized variance forecasting. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905360
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636657
We present a closed form solution to the perpetual American double barrier call option problem in a model driven by Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process with exponential jumps. The method of proof is based on reducing the inital irregular optimal stopping problem to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003375783
We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the asset is driven by Brownian motion, an associated "master...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797695