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We study a new class of three-factor affine option pricing models with interdependent volatility dynamics and a … stochastic skewness component unrelated to volatility shocks. These properties are useful in order (i) to model a term structure … of implied volatility skews more consistent with the data and (ii) to capture comovements of short and long term skews …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128475
) lays the groundwork for the assessment of a firm's credit risk by its default probability. Doubtlessly, the volatility of … approach with conditional volatility models, we empirically examine in this article that the specification of conditional … volatility affects the probability of default and therefor the credit rating. More precisely, we show on German stock market data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344867
prices caused by stochastic volatility. -- option pricing ; autoregression ; heteroskedasticity ; GARCH ; leverage effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460
We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended Girsanov principle that generalizes Duan's (1995) delta...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065375
Volatility long memory is a stylized fact that has been documented for a long time. Existing literature have two ways … to model volatility long memory: component volatility models and fractionally integrated volatility models. This paper … GARCH(1, 1) model by generating 37% less option pricing errors. With stronger volatility persistence, it also dominates a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157824
Hull-White stochastic volatility models. Regardless of the innovations used, the GARCH implied diffusion limit based on the … non-zero market price of volatility risk which is proportional to the market price of the equity risk, where the constant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034800
An accurate weather forecast is the basis for the valuation of weather derivatives, securities that partially compensate for financial losses to holders in case of, from their perspective, adverse outside temperature. The paper analyses precision of two forecast models of average daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264990
models with time varying volatility. In this paper we consider models of this class and examine their potential when it comes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143256
models with time varying volatility. In this paper we consider models of this class and examine their potential when it comes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143636
This study compares the efficacy of Black–Scholes implied volatility (BSIV) with model-free implied volatility (MFIV …) in providing volatility forecasts for 13 North American, European, and Asian stock market indexes: S&P 500 (United States … Kingdom). In-sample volatility forecasts show that both BSIV and MFIV significantly improve the fit of a GJR-GARCH(1,1) model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905621